Year 2014: X-T1 appears on the market. Year 2016: on the market appears the successor of the X-T1, the X-T2. Year 2018: X-T3 comes. Do you see the regularity? Every two years a new pro body.
But in 2018 something more has happened: the X-H1 hit the market. More solid, theoretically more for video than X-T2. And what’s the biggest difference, it has IBIS. And in comparison with X-T2, does NOT overheats during 4K recording.
But looking at X-H1 it is really hard not to think that it is nothing else than X-T2, repacked to more solid chassis with IBIS added. It is hard to find any other really important difference.
And now comes X-T3. New sensor, new CPU, new functions. In fact, if put aside the IBIS, X-T3 is better than X-H1 in every aspect. I would be so natural for X-H2 to appear in January, maybe in February 2019, having at least the same functions as X-T3 has,with added IBIS and more solid body. But there are no any rumors that it could happen. What’s more, there are some rumors with high probability, that there will be NO X-H2 in 2019.
And such situation would be in line with the just discovered regularity, with which Fujifilm introduces ne pro bodies: every two years. But does it make any sense?
As I mentioned above, X-H1 is in general the X-T2 technology, packed into a new body, with IBIS added. We can expect that X-H2 will be built the similar way: X-T3 packed into new, more solid body with IBIS added. Buy… in 2020. In 2020 the technology will go forward further, competitors (Sony, Nikon, Canon, Panasonic, Olympus) will race for a market. What’s more, knowing the regularity, will will be awaiting the X-T4! In such situation, will anybody really buy the X-H2, having the two-year old technology? I doubt. Personally I would buy either X-T3 or maybe Sony (A7 IV?).
In my opinion Fujifilm has just two options making any sense:
- Introduce X-H2 in the spring 2019, having X-T3 technology, with more solid body and IBIS. This would be the option making the most sense and the most awaited by us, Fujifilm users. Such X-H2 introduced this way would sell as hell. But to be honest, I don’t believe it will happen. X-H1 is to new on the market – it is less than a year old. And rumors, excluding such possibility.
- Introduce X-H2 in 2020, but with sensor and CPU newer than the ones in X-T3 and of course with IBIS. And the same year introduce X-T4, with the technology taken from X-H2, so newer that X-T3, except of IBIS. However this solution has a big drawback: X-H1 will not sell next two years as X-H2 could. In fact I think that X-H1 will not sell almost at all now, as there is no reason to chose it over X-T3, complemented by a gimbal. For the potential buyer the new X-T3 technology is more important than X-H1’s IBIS.
What Fujifilm will do? Let me pretend I’m an oracle: in my opinion Fujifilm will introduce X-H2 in 2020, with the technology of the X-T3, in better body and with IBIS and some less important features, missing in the X-T3.